Net Gain from the War on Terror
- The simple use of
demographics of democracy against our enemy
If we have to put
the spotlight on the net gain from the War on Terror, it would have
to be on how we have stoked the fires of intra-Muslim conflict in the
last four years since 9/11. This goal is unstated and will remain so.
But the underlying master-stroke of deposing Saddam has been to bring
the Shiites to power through the ballot in a country that had been
dominated by Sunnis.
Four years back, had anyone imagined that our
enemies would be fighting each other. That Shiites would be gunning
for Osama and Zarqawi? We bet most of them are, at least the
politically aware among them certainly are. If you think this
statement is preposterous, ask the Al Hakim if he would like to turn
in Zarqawi or the Hazaras if they would like to turn in Osama and
The Sunni terrorist Zarqawi has openly called for elimination of
Shiites in Iraq. We have not asked the Shiites to fight back, we have
enabled them to fight back, by giving them power, both political
through the demographics of democracy and by training more of them as
security forces (army and police) in Iraq.
The cycle of Shiite-
Sunni violence once started, grows exponentially and would soon spill
outside Iraq. The Saudis are already getting the jitters that the
Iraqi fires will singe them too and they have started making noises
when they come here to pay their respects for the six decade
Shiites and Sunnis who never had much love for each other are now
going increasingly for each other's throat, rather than gunning for
us alone. We remain their enemies, but they find each other throats
easier to reach, especially when we take the power from the hands of
one and give it to the other as we have done in Iraq!
use of demographics of democracy against our enemy.
The age old
policy of divide and defeat is at work here. Nobody spoke about
bringing a Shiite as the Prime Minister (and maybe a future
President) of Iraq when we launched the war against Saddam. The WMDs
were (and are) adequate alibi for going to war, as Saddam's WMDs are
reported to be palmed off to Syria before we went in. But the major
benefit of war has been to divide the enemy, be he Islamist or
Baathist into Shiite and Sunni (with the Kurds thrown in as a sub-
division). The Shiite-Sunni cleavage will run not just through Iraq,
but through the Saudi peninsula, thru Syria, thru parts of
Afghanistan and Pakistan and to varying degrees through the entire
With the fire of the Shiites and Sunnis directed at
each other translates to less fire directed at us, and also less
enemies for us to put up against as they eliminate each other. If
Zarqawi and Muqtada get each other, that much the better! Passing
around power is the kingpin here. Muslims are power hungry and by
power they want the power of life and death over their adversary,
even when the adversary is another Muslim sect. So with we having
manage to get them to train their guns on each other, we keep them
busy and make the war easy...for us.
The Sunni terrorist Zarqawi
has openly called for elimination of Shiites in Iraq. We have not
asked the Shiites to fight back, we have enabled them to fight back,
by giving them power, both political through the demographics of
democracy and by training more of them as security forces (army and
police) in Iraq.
The cycle of Shiite-Sunni violence once started,
grows exponentially and would soon spill outside Iraq. The Saudis are
already getting the jitters that the Iraqi fires will singe them too
and they have started making noises when they come here to pay their
respects for the six decade long "alliance".
The only thing which
is going in favor of our adversary are the rising oil prices, along
with which rise their oil revenues and the disposable income
available to finance terror activities as also their clandestine
nuclear programs. This is in part the explanation for the Iranian
belligerence on the nuclear issue. Their is no solution in sight to
bring down oil prices, in fact they would go up further as the oil
producing areas become increasingly disturbed when the military
action against Iran begins in 2006. In the next five years oil prices
will peak up, touching perhaps $300 per barrel when the Mid-East oil
supplies go for a toss when North-eastern province of Saudi Arabia is
swept under secessionist strife. ($ 300 sounds too cruel but this
will happen, can't help it.
And this would be once again our
application of demographics of democracy against our enemy using the
case of self-determination for the Saudi population after we take
charge of Saudi Arabia and enforce an election there. The happenings
in Iraq today will be repeated there, with the Shiites wanting
federalism and then finally secession from Saudi Arabia.
oil rich Shiite province gone, the Saudis will be left high and dry,
to prevent which the Sunnis from the Hejaz (Western Saudi Arabia)
will flock to oil rich Dhahran, AL Khobar in a copycat insurgency
that we see in Iraq today.
In fact it is for their Shiite majority
that Dhahran was the scene of the first terrorist attack in Saudi
Arabia in 1995, and Al Khobar too had a taste of it in 2004. The
Saudi situation will go from the frying pan to the fire once we move
into the peninsula to enforce universal adult franchise. This will
set the Shiite cat among the Saudi pigeons. But this will have to
wait till we deal with Iran and then with Syria.
This occupation of
Saudi Arabia in fact would be our final master-stroke using the alibi
of giving the right of self determination to a Shiite majority of the
oil rich North-Eastern Province of the KSA (Kingdom of Saudi Arabia).
Before that would be our venture to bring secularists to power in a
Shiite country - Iran and setting the Mullahs and secularists there
at each others throats. This would be followed by bringing Sunnis to
power through the ballot in a country where the Shiites (Alawites)
are in power through the occupation of Syria starting a Shiite
insurgency against the Sunnis in a reversal of the Iraqi situation!
Masterly isn't it? and too good to be true! But happen it will!
buddies, this is how we would divide a house of murderers against
itself and make the job of hunting down all murderers that much
easier by making the murderers murder each other. Just hang around
and you will see this happening in the next half a decade.
fly in the ointment could be our adversaries smelling a rat and
cobbling up a few nukes or pilfering/buying them from the Pakistani
military, to be set off in our ports and cities before the above
strategy could run its course, necessitating a course correction and
a fast-forward of the War on Terror. Will this happen is the million
Story Credits: War