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Net Gain from the War on Terror

- The simple use of demographics of democracy against our enemy

If we have to put the spotlight on the net gain from the War on Terror, it would have to be on how we have stoked the fires of intra-Muslim conflict in the last four years since 9/11. This goal is unstated and will remain so. But the underlying master-stroke of deposing Saddam has been to bring the Shiites to power through the ballot in a country that had been dominated by Sunnis.

Four years back, had anyone imagined that our enemies would be fighting each other. That Shiites would be gunning for Osama and Zarqawi? We bet most of them are, at least the politically aware among them certainly are. If you think this statement is preposterous, ask the Al Hakim if he would like to turn in Zarqawi or the Hazaras if they would like to turn in Osama and Zawahiri?

The Sunni terrorist Zarqawi has openly called for elimination of Shiites in Iraq. We have not asked the Shiites to fight back, we have enabled them to fight back, by giving them power, both political through the demographics of democracy and by training more of them as security forces (army and police) in Iraq.

The cycle of Shiite- Sunni violence once started, grows exponentially and would soon spill outside Iraq. The Saudis are already getting the jitters that the Iraqi fires will singe them too and they have started making noises when they come here to pay their respects for the six decade long "alliance".

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Shiites and Sunnis who never had much love for each other are now going increasingly for each other's throat, rather than gunning for us alone. We remain their enemies, but they find each other throats easier to reach, especially when we take the power from the hands of one and give it to the other as we have done in Iraq!

A simple use of demographics of democracy against our enemy.

The age old policy of divide and defeat is at work here. Nobody spoke about bringing a Shiite as the Prime Minister (and maybe a future President) of Iraq when we launched the war against Saddam. The WMDs were (and are) adequate alibi for going to war, as Saddam's WMDs are reported to be palmed off to Syria before we went in. But the major benefit of war has been to divide the enemy, be he Islamist or Baathist into Shiite and Sunni (with the Kurds thrown in as a sub- division). The Shiite-Sunni cleavage will run not just through Iraq, but through the Saudi peninsula, thru Syria, thru parts of Afghanistan and Pakistan and to varying degrees through the entire Islamic world.

With the fire of the Shiites and Sunnis directed at each other translates to less fire directed at us, and also less enemies for us to put up against as they eliminate each other. If Zarqawi and Muqtada get each other, that much the better! Passing around power is the kingpin here. Muslims are power hungry and by power they want the power of life and death over their adversary, even when the adversary is another Muslim sect. So with we having manage to get them to train their guns on each other, we keep them busy and make the war easy...for us.

The Sunni terrorist Zarqawi has openly called for elimination of Shiites in Iraq. We have not asked the Shiites to fight back, we have enabled them to fight back, by giving them power, both political through the demographics of democracy and by training more of them as security forces (army and police) in Iraq.

The cycle of Shiite-Sunni violence once started, grows exponentially and would soon spill outside Iraq. The Saudis are already getting the jitters that the Iraqi fires will singe them too and they have started making noises when they come here to pay their respects for the six decade long "alliance".

The only thing which is going in favor of our adversary are the rising oil prices, along with which rise their oil revenues and the disposable income available to finance terror activities as also their clandestine nuclear programs. This is in part the explanation for the Iranian belligerence on the nuclear issue. Their is no solution in sight to bring down oil prices, in fact they would go up further as the oil producing areas become increasingly disturbed when the military action against Iran begins in 2006. In the next five years oil prices will peak up, touching perhaps $300 per barrel when the Mid-East oil supplies go for a toss when North-eastern province of Saudi Arabia is swept under secessionist strife. ($ 300 sounds too cruel but this will happen, can't help it.

And this would be once again our application of demographics of democracy against our enemy using the case of self-determination for the Saudi population after we take charge of Saudi Arabia and enforce an election there. The happenings in Iraq today will be repeated there, with the Shiites wanting federalism and then finally secession from Saudi Arabia.

With the oil rich Shiite province gone, the Saudis will be left high and dry, to prevent which the Sunnis from the Hejaz (Western Saudi Arabia) will flock to oil rich Dhahran, AL Khobar in a copycat insurgency that we see in Iraq today.

In fact it is for their Shiite majority that Dhahran was the scene of the first terrorist attack in Saudi Arabia in 1995, and Al Khobar too had a taste of it in 2004. The Saudi situation will go from the frying pan to the fire once we move into the peninsula to enforce universal adult franchise. This will set the Shiite cat among the Saudi pigeons. But this will have to wait till we deal with Iran and then with Syria.

This occupation of Saudi Arabia in fact would be our final master-stroke using the alibi of giving the right of self determination to a Shiite majority of the oil rich North-Eastern Province of the KSA (Kingdom of Saudi Arabia). Before that would be our venture to bring secularists to power in a Shiite country - Iran and setting the Mullahs and secularists there at each others throats. This would be followed by bringing Sunnis to power through the ballot in a country where the Shiites (Alawites) are in power through the occupation of Syria starting a Shiite insurgency against the Sunnis in a reversal of the Iraqi situation! Masterly isn't it? and too good to be true! But happen it will!

So buddies, this is how we would divide a house of murderers against itself and make the job of hunting down all murderers that much easier by making the murderers murder each other. Just hang around and you will see this happening in the next half a decade.

The only fly in the ointment could be our adversaries smelling a rat and cobbling up a few nukes or pilfering/buying them from the Pakistani military, to be set off in our ports and cities before the above strategy could run its course, necessitating a course correction and a fast-forward of the War on Terror. Will this happen is the million $ question.

Story Credits: War on Jihad

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